Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.307901 0.358699 0.412376 0.473043 0.539433 0.609614 0.689148
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.236922 0.305962 0.383689 0.476576 0.583479 0.701634 0.841067
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.177967 0.255470 0.348390 0.465396 0.606250 0.767965 0.965266
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.144812 0.229474 0.336918 0.478419 0.655167 0.864297 1.126053
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.111476 0.197017 0.312369 0.471363 0.677246 0.927878 1.249046
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.095311 0.184917 0.311973 0.493509 0.735127 1.035534 1.427117
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.076271 0.164830 0.297653 0.494884 0.764982 1.108061 1.562930
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.061243 0.147877 0.285260 0.496860 0.794335 1.179521 1.697941
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.051424 0.137593 0.281217 0.509478 0.837475 1.268910 1.856639
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.044168 0.130345 0.280741 0.526538 0.886512 1.366414 2.026872
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.037952 0.123692 0.280225 0.542918 0.934479 1.462937 2.196959
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029781 0.110802 0.267539 0.539328 0.953170 1.519911 2.315687
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.024190 0.102342 0.261882 0.546742 0.988611 1.601354 2.469669
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018074 0.090418 0.248303 0.540191 1.002833 1.653622 2.585485
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.012265 0.076505 0.228741 0.521917 0.998158 1.678884 2.664873
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009792 0.071566 0.226315 0.532269 1.036995 1.765611 2.828404
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.006639 0.062173 0.213038 0.522492 1.043869 1.806622 2.929686
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.005701 0.061046 0.217703 0.544857 1.101643 1.921345 3.133574
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.004036 0.055251 0.210814 0.545513 1.124596 1.985845 3.268532
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002796 0.050189 0.204776 0.547133 1.148798 2.052216 3.406568
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002129 0.047775 0.204898 0.560294 1.191913 2.146754 3.584837
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001691 0.046426 0.207536 0.578290 1.243187 2.253801 3.781504
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001317 0.045032 0.209838 0.595616 1.293594 2.360086 3.978008